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NATURAL DISASTER AND CRISIS MANAGEMENT
RESEARCH PROGRAM

Center for Global Security

Outline of Research

Unprecedented, large-scale disasters are prone to occur frequently as generated by climate change and crustal movements i.e., earthquakes. For example, the huge earthquakes like the Great East Earthquake and Kumamoto Earthquake, and those related to the quake cluster occur continuously. In addition, volcanic eruption activity must be considered, and hereafter, it is necessary to have disaster prevention plan assuming a large-scale eruption of an active volcano e.g., as represented by Mt. Fuji. Moreover, natural disasters like the occurrence of large-scale slope collapse and debris flow, tornados and flash floods caused by torrential rain, are increasing. Taking all the possibilities of these occurrences into account, necessary countermeasures should be taken in order to build the safety and security of the society.

On the other hand, we also recognize that occurrence frequency of man-caused bombing terrorism accompanied by unstable politics or large-scale explosions at chemical plant factories, tends to increase. The frequency of explosion disasters like them is small, however, once it happens, it is accompanied by a massive explosion. It inflicts damage on people's lives and buildings over a wide area; furthermore, it creates a tremendous impact on society e.g., wholescale or partial suspension of social function.

It is necessary to formulate a detailed plan and to start training others in advance, in order to prevent damages from such large-scale disasters by man-caused and natural phenomena being too great. In this regard, however, it is not easy for local governments, that is the mainstream means of prevention and mitigation of disasters, to formulate the plan fully when considering the regional disaster characteristics independently. This is because of restrictions on human resources and budgets. In addition, it has been noted that mutual cooperation between local government and the SDF, Fire Service and police immediately after outbreak of disaster is extremely important. This is a key point of issue to be considered in advance when considering the regional disaster characteristics.

The researchers here attempt to approach the theme ‘Natural Disaster and Crisis Management’ in our own ways. In research of natural disasters, we attempt to elucidate characteristics of hazard (frequency of disaster scale) of natural disasters, especially the ones which occur frequently and tend to be larger in scale e.g., in recent years those such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, debris flows, tornados and others, and accidents caused by explosions. In addition, we work on proposals of disaster prevention structures and reinforcement methods, as well as others. This means working on developing so-called disaster prevention shelters and the evaluation method of fragility of structures against the disaster. Based upon these evaluations, the next step is an assessment regarding large-scale disasters' impacts on regions using a method of risk engineering. Moreover, we consider collecting information, proposing optimal evacuation routes and material support for law and order. We also consider the relation between disaster and economic loss, and other related issues in the event of a disaster. After these considerations, we evaluate social resilience in a comprehensive manner. We go through another evaluation (via a quantitative method) on disaster prevention planning which is considered characteristic of regions based on the above evaluations' benchmarks. Furthermore, we think about upgrading countermeasures against large-scale disasters beyond our assumed scope.

Natural Disaster and Crisis Management Research Program

We are working on the following projects.

1Issues and Countermeasures for Evacuation of Overseas Japanese by State Aircraft

(1) Overview
The purpose of this study is to analyze the issues and countermeasures for non-combatant evacuation operations by state aircraft focusing on safety and quickness by comparing the efforts of major countries. This study is implemented by receiving research funds from the Scholarship and Education Foundation on National Defense Academy.

(2) Project Director
Yasuhiro Takeda, Professor, Department of International Relations, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA

(3) Research Associates
Rintaro Yamanaka, Professor, Department of Public Policy, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA
Yurika Ishii, Associate Professor, Department of International Relations, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA
Takashi Sekiguchi, Lieutenant Colonel, Associate Professor, Department of Strategic Studies, School of Defense Sciences, NDA
Masahide Nakano, Lieutenant Colonel, Graduate School of Security Studies, NDA
Joji Okuhira, Senior Fellow, NIDS

2Comparative study of crisis management between Japan and the U.S.

(1) Overview
Comparative analysis on the crisis managements of Japan and the U.S. in the event of natural hazards and unnatural disasters will be conducted from various viewpoints of differing legal systems, policy measures, and operations, in order to clarify effects and issues brought up by unification of crisis management systems.

(2) Project Director
Yasuhiro Takeda, Professor, Department of International Relations, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA

(3) Research Associates
Takashi Ashizawa, Senior Consultant, Tokio Marine & Nichido Risk Consulting Co., Ltd.
Ken Kato, Associate Professor, Department of Public Policy, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA
Takahisa Kawaguchi, Senior Consultant, Tokio Marine & Nichido Risk Consulting Co., Ltd.
Yusuke Kawashima, Associate Professor, College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Ibaraki University
Toshiya Nakamura, Professor, Graduate School of Informatics, Executive Director of the Global Media Research Center, Nagoya University
Hironobu Nakabayashi, Researcher, Disaster Reduction and Human Renovation Institute
Masahiro Hayashi, Associate Professor, Faculty of Law, Tokoha University
Koji Furukawa, Professor, School of Law, Chubu University
Tomoaki Honda, Research Fellow, The Canon Institute for Global Studies
Naofumi Miyasaka, Professor, Department of International Relations, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA

3In the event of large-scale natural disaster, social resilience assessment and upgrading crisis management

(1) Overview
This study aims to consider social resilience assessment against large-scale disasters such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tornados, debris flows, and the others. In addition, it is to consider problems related to upgrading of crisis management systems which should be done by local governments, the SDF, Police, Fire Service, and each otherwise associated institution after the event of a major disaster occurrence.

(2) Project Director
Masuhiro Beppu, Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA

(3) Research Associates
Satoshi Katsuki, Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Harumi Yashiro, Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Munetoshi Iwakiri, Associate Professor, Department of Computer Science, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, NDA
Hiroyuki Yamada, Associate Professor, Department of Mechanical Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Hiroyoshi Ichino, Associate Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Toshiyuki Horiguchi, Associate Professor, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Ken Kato, Associate Professor, Department of Public Policy, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, NDA
Noriaki Takenoue, Research Associate, Global Security Center, NDA
Takamori Ukai, Lecturer, Department of Computer Science, NDA

4Research on large-scale disasters and unmanned vehicles

(1) Overview
The purpose of this research is to develop unmanned vehicles to observe disaster areas from both ground and aerial positions. Regarding unmanned ground vehicles, it aims to develop control systems, and mechanical systems, that enable autonomous movement on rough terrains using a commercial amphibious robot. Regarding unmanned aerial vehicles, it aims to develop a hybrid aerial vehicle with multi-rotor mechanisms and fixed wings which enable both long distance and vertical takeoff and landing performance. Moreover, this research tries to develop an integrated system with UGV and UAV which would be launched first in a disaster area.

(2) Project Director
Masashi Kashitani, Professor, Department of Aerospace Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA

(3) Research Associates
Masato Taguchi, Assistant Professor, Department of Aerospace Engineering, School of Systems Engineering, NDA
Yoshihiro Takita, Research Associate, Global Security Center, NDA

5【Completed】Research on elucidation of explosives combustion characteristics in small containers

(1) Overview
The purpose of this research is to investigate combustion characteristics of various explosives and the pressure profile when burning the explosives in a small container.

(2) Project Director
Makoto Kohga, Professor, Department of Applied Chemistry, School of Applied Sciences, NDA

6【Completed】Research on burning characteristics improvement and risk assessment of composite propellants

(1) Overview
The purpose of this research is to improve the burning characteristics of composite propellants by reforming the oxidizer which is the main component of propellant, and by sophisticating binder and other additives, and to assess the risks posed to propellants.

(2) Project Director
Makoto Kohga, Professor, Department of Applied Chemistry, School of Applied Sciences, NDA

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